Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.212168 0.246615 0.286797 0.337612 0.400853 0.477900 0.580325
2025-02-23 0.161045 0.204112 0.260622 0.342239 0.460700 0.632553 0.913379
2025-03-02 0.130784 0.176142 0.240928 0.344441 0.514559 0.801706 1.372482
2025-03-09 0.110218 0.155281 0.223909 0.342641 0.558887 0.975879 1.975643
2025-03-16 0.094643 0.138004 0.207411 0.335393 0.589344 1.139903 2.718090
2025-03-23 0.085936 0.129473 0.202588 0.346205 0.657447 1.423527 4.134215
2025-03-30 0.076452 0.117962 0.190183 0.338982 0.684450 1.628067 5.658526
2025-04-06 0.070386 0.111228 0.184880 0.344321 0.742717 1.965153 8.537288
2025-04-13 0.064199 0.103368 0.176038 0.339753 0.774564 2.250689 12.141061
2025-04-20 0.060109 0.098717 0.172543 0.346223 0.839972 2.726225 19.550436
2025-04-27 0.056884 0.095226 0.170740 0.356211 0.921520 3.374307 34.499151
2025-05-04 0.053865 0.091737 0.168350 0.364157 1.001830 4.145234 64.490193
2025-05-11 0.051257 0.088824 0.166916 0.374887 1.101640 5.238240 145.395065
2025-05-18 0.048558 0.085437 0.163964 0.380975 1.190407 6.496118 374.284787
2025-05-25 0.045926 0.081899 0.160151 0.383748 1.269706 7.941227 1216.533015
2025-06-01 0.043288 0.078075 0.155135 0.381749 1.328814 9.445270 5648.333725
2025-06-08 0.040574 0.073833 0.148567 0.373427 1.354715 10.745598 48041.787834
2025-06-15 0.039200 0.072323 0.148434 0.385883 1.497419 14.365157 NaN
2025-06-22 0.036938 0.068670 0.142498 0.377566 1.523329 16.430205 NaN
2025-06-29 0.035534 0.066790 0.140830 0.383715 1.641314 21.342217 NaN
2025-07-06 0.033754 0.063919 0.136252 0.378454 1.686877 25.247634 NaN
2025-07-13 0.032632 0.062442 0.135167 0.385907 1.826820 34.092979 NaN
2025-07-20 0.031733 0.061398 0.135112 0.397422 2.011970 49.211081 NaN